carbon dioxide emissions when 85% of our energy supply comes from carbon-rich fossil fuels?

The Nobody’s Fuel analysis leads to a workable Energy Supply Plan:
1. Promote nuclear generation of electricity to neighbors, colleagues and elected representatives.
2. Produce all electricity by nuclear energy (except hydro). Extend electricity use everywhere, such as:
2.1 railroads
2.2 home heating and cooking
2.3 public transportation
3. Reserve liquid fuels for road and air transport (there are no substitutes on the scale required).
3.1 Convert home heating from oil to electricity
3.2 Use coal to manufacture liquid fuels
3.3 Convert large ships to nuclear power
4. Replace thermal nuclear reactors with fast breeder reactors to consume existing nuclear waste and ensure nuclear fuel for thousands of years.
5. Practice conservation as you see it:
5.1 Turn off lights, TVs, and computers when not required
5.2 Reduce hot water use (but maintain health control)
5.3 Walk or ride a bicycle, if applicable
5.4 Recycle waste and discarded items
5.5 Use public transportation, if applicable
5.6 Buy a fuel efficient car
6. Use energy as efficiently as possible.
6.1 Use “Energy Star” appliances
6.2 Use low energy light bulbs
6.3 Install programmable thermostats
6.4 Use motion detector lights
6.5 Upgrade house insulation, windows, and weather stripping
6.6 Maintain your car as recommended
6.7 Promote energy efficiency initiatives
7. Promote renewable energies only where they make sense
8. Construct a robust electricity grid with excess capacity to prevent disruption as electricity consumption climbs.

Addressing the Trimtab philosophy
Note: Many statements in this document are made without detailed explanation. It is critically important that judges watch the DVD, included in this shipment, for a complete understanding of this issue.

Note: Nobody’s Fuel DVDs contain a PDF version of the script, with full explanation and references.
Comprehensive The NFESP is comprehensive because it was created with an understanding of:
- where energy comes from;
- what types of energy we use;
- how we use energy;
- how much energy we use;
- how much energy we will use;
- how much energy remains;
- how energy was used in the past and how its’ use has changed;
- how important energy is to Humankind;
- environmental and ecological systems; and
- all proposed solutions to the problem of carbon emissions and energy supply.

Fuel supply in the USA up to 1850 was virtually 100% wood. Trees became scarce and the switch to fossil fuel, or stored solar energy, began. Renewable sources declined from 100% to less than 10% because they could not supply enough reliable energy.

Developed nations use 100 times more energy and have 100 times more income than developing nations. As most nations attempt to increase incomes, increased energy consumption per person is guaranteed. Most people live in developing nations, which is why energy consumption is expected to grow rapidly.

The comprehensive NFESP considers the following: the carbon cycle, de-forestation, tree-planting programs, air pollution, global dimming, ecological footprints of all energy sources, carbon dioxide sequestration; energy conservation; energy efficiency; renewable energy; the hydrogen economy; and nuclear energy.

Anticipatory
The NFESP is anticipatory because it was created with an understanding of:
- future energy demand;
- potential weaknesses in our energy supply;
- the limited future role of “unconventional oil”;
- long-term consequences and limitations of all alternative solutions;
- the minor effects of the Kyoto Protocol; and
- nuclear fuel characteristics and supply.

By 2100 the world is forecast to consume nearly four times the amount of energy as it does today. Although based on a predictive model, actual consumption has closely tracked predictions.

Synthetic crude oil cannot be produced fast enough from “unconventional” sources to meet even current demand.

Energy conservation is unpredictable. Most energy efficiency estimates are unrealistic because there are clearly defined physical limits.

Hydroelectric power has a world-wide growth limit. Biomass projects, such as making ethanol from corn, provide little net energy benefit. Wind and solar power are intermittent and contain little reliable power.

Hydrogen is not a source of energy, but an energy carrier, like electricity.

Waste from fast reactors is much less radioactive than that from current thermal reactors. Existing nuclear waste is good fuel for fast reactors. Using the 100 times more efficient fast reactors, there is enough fuel for thousands of years.

Ecologically responsible
The NFESP is ecologically responsible because it recognizes:
- ecological footprints of all alternatives;
- the inability of tree-planting to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions;
- the best solution for humanity is to use high density fuels; and
- the flexibility of high-density nuclear fuel

Biomass fuel, such as ethanol from corn, is a land-hog for the energy produced.

Wind power exerts a strong ecological footprint. A range of groups oppose new turbine installations. Winds suitable for wind power installations are often migratory routes for birds, which are frequently killed by turbine blades.

Solar energy is an improvement in land intensity for equal energy output, but it has other limits.

Volcanic geothermal energy requires very little land per unit of output, but is limited to geographical hot spots, such as Iceland.

Objections to building more hydro dams are raised because flooding creates refugees and destroys archeological sites. Downstream, river changes endanger fish species cut off from traditional spawning grounds. Remaining suitable hydro locations are in low-lying countries, such as Thailand, where floodplains are much larger and displace more people.

Nuclear energy has the smallest footprint except for volcanic geothermal, which, as we have seen, is limited.

Tree planting is not reliable for carbon dioxide mitigation. If temperatures and decay rates increase, forests can be a source of carbon dioxide.

Large-scale use of low density fuels has led to environmental degradation. In the mid-1800s, trees were being cut down faster than they could grow, for riverboat fuel. The switch to fossil fuels allowed forests in the United States to recover, and today there is more forest than in the late 1800s. However, One kilogram of uranium is roughly baseball-sized and contains the power of 2.3 million liters of gasoline.

Nuclear energy is high-density, carbon-free, affordable, with abundant fuel. And, because nuclear power is also air-pollution-particle-free, it also solves the little discussed problem of global dimming.

Verifiable
The NFESP is verifiable because:
- it is the result of rigorous empirical testing; and
- it relies upon well-defined technology

The NFESP is based on solid science and engineering-based realities There have been no verifiable facts that have successfully challenged the facts of either the Nobody’s Fuel analysis or the NFESP. The NFESP is a study in verification, as the conclusions resulted from what remained after limitations in all alternatives were identified.

Replicable
The NFESP is replicable, as it is based on solid science and engineering. The plan is based on practical realities and current technologies deployed worldwide. Anyone with the right technical qualifications can replicate any or all parts of the NFESP.

Achievable
The NFESP is achievable because:
- it relies upon well known technology;
- it is already underway to a limited extent;
- the world population is increasingly coming to accept nuclear energy; and
- the Nobody’s Fuel analysis offers an achievable timeline to migrate to fast breeder reactors

There are no technological gaps or uncertainties in the NFESP. As of June 2006, there were 442 nuclear plants generating electricity in 30 countries, and 27 new ones under construction in 11 countries. The Nobody’s Fuel analysis provides the specific background as to why this is necessary.

The NFESP is to be achieved by individuals, where possible. More significant tasks are to be achieved via industry initiatives, encouraged by tax incentives and government regulation. All technology is known with established costs. Investments can be amortized and are self-financing via an existing customer base.

Nobody’s Fuel is a public education endeavor. We plan to form an institute to guide the NFESP’s deployment.